Analyse du marché noir de carbone (3 février)
01 Carbon Black Index
According to TuDuoDuo data, the carbon black price index was 6809.5 on February 3, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
03 Analysis of Factors Affecting the Carbon Black Market
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices were 3800 yuan/ton in Shandong; 3760 yuan/ton in Shanxi; and 3800 yuan/ton in Hebei. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market is expected to remain stable to slightly weak in the short term.
2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sampled carbon black enterprises slightly decreased. Some large factories chose to reduce production lines to lower inventory, resulting in significant market pressure and reducing companies' enthusiasm to operate. Downstream demand was generally weak before the holidays. Under the influence of negative demand factors, the operating rate of the carbon black market is expected to remain low.
3. Downstream Demand: Some tire manufacturers had already started their Chinese New Year holidays at the end of last month, while others gradually completed production earlier this month, leading to a gradual decline in tire production and a decrease in the overall operating rate. Most other companies maintained relatively stable production.
Currently, companies are gradually confirming their holiday schedules, and pre-holiday shipments are acceptable, with stock accumulation showing relatively strong performance at the beginning of the month.
04. Market Outlook
As of now, new orders for coal tar as a raw material continue to show a downward trend, with cost factors remaining unfavorable. Additionally, pre-holiday closures of some tire manufacturers have limited replenishment demand, leading to a decline in previously high offers. Market transactions are stagnant, and the focus of new orders in the carbon black market is expected to decrease.
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