Analyse du marché du noir de carbone (27 janvier)

January 28, 2026

TDD-global

7937

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Ce rapport de marché examine l'état actuel de l'industrie chinoise du noir de carbone. Le 27 janvier, l'indice du prix du noir de carbone est resté stable à 6809.5. Cependant, les pressions sous-jacentes s'intensifient: les prix du goudron de houille en amont restent fermes autour de 3940-4000 yuans/tonne, ce qui augmente les coûts de production. Les taux d'exploitation du noir de carbone ont diminué, certains producteurs ayant réduit leur production dans un contexte de pressions sur les coûts. En aval, les fabricants de pneus tout acier au Shandong font face à une faible demande intérieure et à l'exportation, à des stocks élevés et à des restrictions de production, réduisant ainsi les achats de noir de carbone. À court terme, le soutien des coûts par le goudron de houille pourrait soutenir les prix, mais la stagnation des échanges et la demande limitée suggèrent que les nouvelles commandes dépendront fortement des négociations sur les prix. Les perspectives du marché indiquent des taux d'exploitation toujours bas et des transactions prudentes.

01 Carbon Black Index
According to data from TuDuoDuo, the carbon black price index was 6809.5 on January 27th, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.

02 Carbon Black Market Price

03 Analysis of the Impact on the Carbon Black Market

1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong were 4000 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, 3940 yuan/ton; and in Hebei, 3950 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market remained stable, with market quotations remaining firm.

2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample carbon black enterprises declined slightly, while raw material prices rose significantly, increasing the pressure on the carbon black market. Some enterprises reduced production lines and adjusted their production schedules, leading to a decline in the market operating rate. Moreover, the carbon black market faces significant upward pressure in the short term, and the market operating rate may remain low in the future.

3. Downstream Demand: Some all-steel tire manufacturers in Shandong are facing increased production and sales pressure and are currently under production restrictions. High raw material prices are putting pressure on these companies, and the slow destocking of finished products is further increasing their production pressure. Overall, domestic sales are in a seasonally weak period, with sluggish shipments. Foreign trade growth is limited, and inventory pressure exists. Some companies may be considering early maintenance shutdowns.

04 Market Outlook

Currently, the price of raw material coal tar continues its upward trend, supporting market quotations from a cost perspective. However, the carbon black market is experiencing stagnant trading at high levels, with downstream demand limited and transaction volume constrained. It is expected that new orders in the carbon black market will remain subject to price negotiations.

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