Analyse du marché du noir de carbone cette semaine
Noir de carboneAnalyse des prix du marché
Cette semaine, les prix intérieurs du noir de carbone ont montré une légère tendance à la baisse dans certaines régions. À compter de jeudi, les prix étaient de 6 400 yuans/tonne au Shandong ; 6 200 yuans/tonne au Shanxi ; 6 600 yuans/tonne au Hebei ; 6 600 yuans/tonne à Guangzhou ; et 6 400 yuans/tonne au Zhejiang. Plusieurs grandes usines de noir de carbone ont repris leurs activités après des travaux de maintenance effectués au cours de la semaine, augmentant ainsi l'offre sur place.
Bien que les prix des matières premières aient rebondi, reflétant une perception favorable des coûts, un grand nombre de commandes passées précédemment à bas prix a entraîné une forte résistance en aval face aux offres élevées de noir de carbone. En raison du frein exercé par la demande, la pression sur les échanges réels de noir de carbone persiste, l'activité commerciale restant faible sur certains marchés et l'ambiance stagnante lors des transactions physiques sur place.
While raw material prices have rebounded, reflecting favorable cost sentiment, a large number of previously placed orders at low prices have led to significant downstream resistance to high carbon black offers. Due to the drag from demand, pressure on actual carbon black trading persists, with trading activity remaining low in some markets and a stagnant atmosphere in on-site actual trading.
Analyse de l'indice du marché noir du charbon
Selon les données de Tuduoduo, l'indice des prix du noir de carbone s'élevait à 6 426 au 18 septembre, en baisse de 53,25 points par rapport au cycle précédent.
According to Tuduoduo data, the carbon black price index was 6,426 as of September 18, down 53.25 points from the previous cycle.
Carbon Black Market Forecast
Looking ahead, with the decline in raw material coal tar prices and negative market factors, carbon black prices are expected to fall. However, due to stocking demand for the National Day holiday at the end of the month, the coal tar market is expected to rebound again. Driven by the cost market, the carbon black market may enter a period of upward pressure again.
Looking ahead, with the decline in raw material coal tar prices and negative market factors, carbon black prices are expected to fall. However, due to stocking demand for the National Day holiday at the end of the month, the coal tar market is expected to rebound again. Driven by the cost market, the carbon black market may enter a period of upward pressure again.
Carbon Black Industry N330 Profit Analysis
For example, in Shandong, new orders in the raw material coal tar market remained stable, while the carbon black market saw only moderate trading at high levels, with actual order volume declining. This led to a widening of the carbon black market's profit losses during the week. As of now, the carbon black industry's theoretical weekly profit is -260 yuan/ton, down 100% from last week.
For example, in Shandong, new orders in the raw material coal tar market remained stable, while the carbon black market saw only moderate trading at high levels, with actual order volume declining. This led to a widening of the carbon black market's profit losses during the week. As of now, the carbon black industry's theoretical weekly profit is -260 yuan/ton, down 100% from last week.
Statistiques de taux d'exploitation du marché de cette semaine
Analyse du taux d'exploitation du marché noir du noir de carbone
Les taux d'exploitation des entreprises de noir de carbone se sont stabilisés dans une fourchette étroite, certaines sociétés du Shanxi et du Shandong connaissant une légère augmentation de leurs taux d'exploitation à bas niveau. Les entreprises du Shandong poursuivent encore leurs travaux de maintenance, ce qui entraîne des fluctuations limitées des taux d'exploitation sur le marché au cours de la semaine.
Carbon black companies' operating rates have been consolidating within a narrow range, with some companies in Shanxi and Shandong experiencing a slight increase in low-level operating rates. Companies in Shandong are still undergoing maintenance, resulting in limited fluctuations in market operating rates during the week.
Downstream Market Operating Rate Analysis
China's semi-steel tire operating rate is 73%. China's full-steel tire operating rate is 66%. During the cycle, the production and operation of tire companies were stable, and the shipments of most companies remained basically stable. The foreign trade sales of some companies slowed down slightly, and the inventory volume increased slightly, but the overall impact was not significant, so as to moderately alleviate the shortage of some specifications.
China's semi-steel tire operating rate is 73%. China's full-steel tire operating rate is 66%. During the cycle, the production and operation of tire companies were stable, and the shipments of most companies remained basically stable. The foreign trade sales of some companies slowed down slightly, and the inventory volume increased slightly, but the overall impact was not significant, so as to moderately alleviate the shortage of some specifications.
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